Mutual fund investors learn to watch the fund manager rather than the fund company to pick the right fund. Similarly, investors should look at the track record of the individual venture capitalists, not necessarily those of the venture firms.Identifying good venture capitalists based on past performance can help investors piggyback on the knowledge and experience of those VCs. This is especially true for VCs who pick a winning investment in a company's earliest stages.
We began our evaluation with a universe of 330 Internet IPOs from 1995 through the end of 1999, excluding data communications and network equipment companies. Using VentureOne's database, we noted the first individual lead VC to join each company's board, then selected the 31 VCs credited with two or more IPOs. We analyzed each VC's investment portfolio all companies on whose boards they sat.
Who came out on top? It depends on who you ask. The VCs best able to grow their firms' coffers are often not the best from the public investor's standpoint.
In the top table, a VC with a higher batting average (or few failures in his portfolio) will be of interest to entrepreneurs or public investors who value consistency. High annualized returns and wealth creation will be of interest to the VCs and their investors who value the magnitude of the winnings.
But are these VCs necessarily the best ones for public investors to watch? In the bottom table, we rank the top 10 VCs by after-market performance of public companies in their portfolios. Institutional investors with positions in firms backed by these venture capitalists have generated excellent long-term returns. On average, the top VCs have returned nearly 470 percent annually from the offer price. On a median basis, the return is 50 percent still above the Nasdaq's five-year annualized gain of 38 percent.
Unlike institutional investors, individuals are usually shut out of the IPO, so using the stocks' first-day close offers a better estimate for their return. The gains for individuals are smaller, but still respectable. The top VCs returned an average of 125 percent and a median of 28 percent annually from first-day close.
Given the Internet market turmoil, public investors would be wise to follow the lead of VCs who have demonstrated the ability to invest in and build lasting companies, not those with the best overall returns.
| The Heroes of the Venture World ... | | Total performance of investments by early stage VCs. | | RANK | NAME | FIRM | MEDIAN ANNUALIZED RETURN | MEDIAN WEALTH CREATION PER COMPANY | BATTING AVERAGE | | 1 | William Gross | Idealab | 839% | 1,392 | 0.833 | | 2 | Walter Buckley | Internet Capital Group (ICGE) | 408% | 264 | 0.600 | | 3 | Andrew Verhalen | Matrix | 381% | 284 | 0.917 | | 4 | Michael Brooks | JH Whitney | 333% | 753 | 0.667 | | 5 | Virginia Turezyn | Infinity (INF) | 312% | 208 | 0.857 | | 6 | Kevin Harvey | Benchmark Capital | 285% | 343 | 0.750 | | 7 | Ted Dintersmith | Charles River | 224% | 310 | 1.000 | | 8 | William Ford | General Atlantic | 187% | 1,506 | 0.875 | | 9 | David Cowan | Bessemer Venture Partners | 178% | 163 | 0.769 | | 10 | James Breyer | Accel Partners | 169% | 559 | 0.833 | | 11 | John Thornton | Austin Ventures | 155% | 519 | 0.909 | | 12 | John Walecka | Redpoint Ventures | 140% | 112 | 0.611 | | 13 | Tim Barrows | Matrix | 134% | 56 | 0.714 | | 14 | Jeff Brody | Redpoint Ventures | 125% | 94 | 0.692 | | 15 | William Kaiser | Greylock | 116% | 387 | 0.800 | | 16 | John Doerr | Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers | 113% | 4,310 | 0.857 | | 17 | Michael Moritz | Sequoia Capital | 107% | 170 | 0.700 | | 18 | Ann Winblad | Hummer Winblad | 104% | 175 | 0.769 | | 19 | Frederic Harman | Oak Investments | 100% | 741 | 0.800 | | 20 | Richard D'Amore | North Bridge | 99% | 96 | 0.786 | |
| ... Aren't the Heroes of the Public Markets | | Public performance of investments by early stage VCs. | | | MEDIAN ANNUALIZED RETURN | | RANK | NAME | FIRM | IPO PRESENT | FIRST-DAY CLOSE PRESENT | | 1 | David Strohm | Greylock | 128% | 65% | | 2 | William Ford | General Atlantic | 76% | 23% | | 3 | Frederic Harman | Oak Investments | 74% | 72% | | 4 | Robert Hoff | Crosspoint | 62% | 50% | | 5 | John Doerr | Kleiner Perkins Caufield & Byers | 50% | 37% | | 6 | William Kaiser | Greylock | 37% | 31% | | 7 | David Cowan | Bessemer Venture Partners | 33% | 22% | | 8 | Michael Brooks | JH Whitney | 33% | 22% | | 9 | John Walecka | Redpoint Ventures | 27% | -14% | | 10 | Robert Kagle | Benchmark Capital | 15% | 11% | |
John D. Hershey is a managing director Banc of America Securities. Jamie Earle is a former research analyst with Credit Suisse First Boston.